Research articles

This page shows a list of scientific papers, conference papers and other reports of research using TIGGE data. The articles are sorted by year of publication, and in alphabetical order within each year.

We encourage all researchers using TIGGE data to inform us, so that we can publicise your work via this page. Please also let us know if the information on this page requires updating.

2010

Bougeault, P., Z. Toth, C. Bishop, Barbara Brown, David Burridge, De Hui Chen, Beth Ebert, Manuel Fuentes, Tom Hamill, Ken Mylne, Jean Nicolau, Tiziana Paccagnella, Young-Youn Park, David Parsons, Baudouin Raoult, Doug Schuster, Pedro Silva Dias, Richard Swinbank, Yoshiaki Takeuchi, Warren Tennant, Laurie Wilson and Steve Worley, 2009: The THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE). Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., in press.

Chen, Shin-Gan , Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and S. J. Majumdar and C. C. Wu, 2010: Properties of the Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter adaptive sampling strategy for tropical cyclones. 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://ams.confex.com/ams/29Hurricanes/techprogram/paper_167822.htm

Froude, L. S. R, 2010: TIGGE: Comparison of the Prediction of Northern Hemisphere Extratropical Cyclones by Different Ensemble Prediction Systems, Weather and Forecasting (accepted).
Available from http://ams.allenpress.com/perlserv/?request=get-abstract&doi=10.1175%2F2010WAF2222326.1

Froude, L.S.R. and Gurney R. J., 2010: Storm Prediction Research and its Application to the Oil/Gas Industry. In: Troccoli A. (ed.) Management of Weather and Climate Risk in the Energy Industry, NATO Science Series, Springer Academic Publisher, in press. http://www.nerc-essc.ac.uk/~lsrf/Downloads/NATO.pdf

Hagedorn, Renate, Roberto Buizza, Thomas M. Hamill, Martin Leutbecher and T.N. Palmer, 2010: Comparing TIGGE multi-model forecasts with reforecast-calibrated ECMWF ensemble forecasts. Submitted to Monthly Weather Review . http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/tom.hamill/Hagegorn_TIGGE.pdf

Hamill , Tom, J. S. Whitaker and S. Benjamin, 2010: Performance of the NOAA FIM global ensemble prediction system for hurricanes during the 2009 season. 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences. http://ams.confex.com/ams/90annual/techprogram/paper_157592.htm

Majumdar, S. J. and P. M. Finocchio, 2010: On the ability of global Ensemble Prediction Systems to predict tropical cyclone track probabilities, Weather and Forecasting (in press).
Available from http://ams.allenpress.com/perlserv/?request=get-pdf&doi=10.1175%2F2009WAF2222327.1

Nakazawa, Tetsuo and M. Matsueda, 2010: Genesis potential estimation of high-impact weather by TIGGE ensemble data. 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://ams.confex.com/ams/29Hurricanes/techprogram/paper_168409.htm

Schumacher, Russ S., 2010: Predecessor Rain Events ahead of recurving tropical cyclones: Using numerical simulations and ensemble forecasts to quantify the rainfall enhancement. 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://ams.confex.com/ams/29Hurricanes/techprogram/paper_169261.htm

Yamaguchi, M. and S. J. Majumdar, 2010: Using TIGGE data to diagnose initial perturbations and their growth for tropical cyclone ensemble forecasts. Mon. Wea.Rev., in press. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/2010MWR3176.1

2009

Bao, H.; Li, Z.; Yu, Z., 2009: Development of coupled atmospheric-hydrologic-hydraulic flood forecasting system driven by ensemble weather predictions. American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2009, abstract #H51G-0833. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009AGUFM.H51G0833B

He, Y., F. Wetterhall, H. L. Cloke, F. Pappenberger, M. Wilson, J. Freer and G. McGregor, 2009: Tracking the uncertainty in flood alerts driven by grand ensemble weather predictions. Meteorol. Appl.. DOI: 10.1002/met. http://www.nmpi.net/wiki/images/3/34/TIGGE_HE_et_al2009.pdf

He, Y. ; Manful, D. Y. ; Cloke, H. L. ; Wetterhall, F. ; Li, Z. ; Bao, H. ; Pappenberger, F. ; Wesner, S. ; Schubert, L. ; Yang, L. ; Hu, Y. , 2009: Development of web-based services for a novel ensemble flood forecasting and risk assessment system. American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2009, abstract #NH43A-1297. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009AGUFMNH43A1297H

Jacobs, C.A. and S.J. Worley, 2009: Data Curation in Climate and Weather: Transforming Our Ability to Improve Predictions through Global Knowledge Sharing. The International Journal of Digital Curation. v.4, 68-79. http://www.ijdc.net/index.php/ijdc/article/viewFile/119/122

Johnson, C. and R. Swinbank, 2009: Medium-range multi-model ensemble combination and calibration, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 135, 777-794. http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/122246419/abstract

Earlier version published as Forecasting Research Technical Report, Meteorology R&D Technical Report no. 517, Met Office.

Keller , Julia H. 2010: Investigation of predictability during the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones using the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE). 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://ams.confex.com/ams/29Hurricanes/techprogram/paper_168784.htm

Krishnamurti, T.N., A. D. Sagadevan, A. Chakraborty, A. K. Mishra and A. Simon, 2009: Improving multimodel weather forecast of monsoon rain over China using FSU superensemble . Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. http://www.springerlink.com/content/h85463j782368381/

Matsueda, M., M. Kyouda, Z. Toth, T. Miyoshi, H. L. Tanaka, and T. Tsuyuki: On the predictability of a blocking occurred on 15th December 2005. Third THORPEX International Science Symposium. 14-18 September 2009, Monterey, USA. http://air.geo.tsukuba.ac.jp/~tanaka/papers/paper225.pdf

Matsueda, M., 2009: Blocking Predictability in Operational Medium-Range Ensemble Forecasts, SOLA, 5, 113-116. http://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/5/0/5_113/_article

2008

Buizza, R., Y.-Y. Park, M. Leutbecher, and, F. Pappenberger, 2008: Predictability studies using TIGGE data. ECMWF Newsletter No. 116, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK, in press
Available from http://www.ecmwf.int/publications/newsletters/).

Matsueda, M. and H.L. Tanaka, 2008: Can MCGE Outperform the ECMWF
Ensemble? SOLA, 4, 77-80.
link: http://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/4/0/4_77/_article

Pappenberger, F., J. Bartholmes, J. Thielen, H. L. Cloke, R. Buizza, and A. de Roo, 2008: New dimensions in early flood warning across the globe using grand-ensemble weather predictions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L10404, doi:10.1029/2008GL033837. http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2008/2008GL033837.shtml
Also published as ECMWF Technical Memorandum No.557

Park, Y.-Y., R. Buizza, and M. Leutbecher, 2008: TIGGE: preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 134, 2029-2050
Also published as ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 548

Rutledge, G. K.; Schuster, D.; Worley, S.; Stepaniak, D.; Toth, Z.; Zhu, Y.; Bougeault, P.; Anthony, S. 2008: Archive Access to the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) Suite of Model Output. American Geophysical Union, Spring Meeting 2008, abstract #IN41A-04. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2008AGUSMIN41A..04R

Thielen, J.; Pappenberger, F.; Bartholmes, J.; Kalas, M.; Bogner, K.; de Roo, A., 2008: Flood Forecasting Based on Multiple EPS -- is it Worth the Effort? American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2008, abstract #H53H-03. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2008AGUFM.H53H..03T

Titley, H., N. Savage, R. Swinbank and S. Thompson, 2008: Comparison between Met Office and ECMWF medium-range ensemble forecast systems, Meteorology R&D Technical Report no. 512, Met Office.

Zhu, Y.; Toth, Z.; Rutledge, G. K., 2008: TIGGE and NAEFS: Research and operational developments in multi-center ensemble forecasting. American Geophysical Union, Spring Meeting 2008, abstract #IN41A-03. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2008AGUSMIN41A..03Z

2005

Richardson, D., R., Buizza and R. Hagedorn, 2005: Final report of the 1st Workshop on the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE). WMO TD No. 1273, WWRP-THORPEX No. 5